#CLIMATE

New threat of global warming, temperatures will break all records in five years

The average global temperature increase could exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius in the next five years. The annual temperature in any one year could break all previous records. There is a 70 percent chance of this happening. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has warned of this in a report.

The agency said 2024 was the warmest year on record. The limit for global average temperature increase of 1.5 degrees Celsius was crossed last year. The average temperature for the five years from 2025 to 2029 could exceed this limit.

Global warming is measured by the average temperature of the Earth’s crust from 1850 to 1900. During that period, the average temperature of the Earth’s surface was 13.7 degrees Celsius. It is believed that industrialization began in an “environmentally dangerous” way after this period. Environmentalists believe that humans are responsible for global warming during this rapid and dangerous industrialization period.

According to the 2015 Paris Agreement, the average temperature increase in the Earth’s crust must be kept below 1.5 degrees. Going beyond 2 degrees is very dangerous. The goal is to keep it within 1.5 degrees. The temperature of the crust in 2024 was 1.55 degrees Celsius higher than the warming baseline (13.7 degrees Celsius).

Environmentalists say that occasionally exceeding this limit in one or two years is one thing, but exceeding this limit on average over a long period of time would be a sign of great danger. 

The danger that the WMO report indicates

According to the report, not only is the average temperature increase from 2025 to 2029 likely to exceed 1.5 degrees, but it is also feared that temperatures could exceed 2024 in any of these five years.

“We have witnessed 10 years in the recent past where temperatures were higher than the years before,” said Coe Barrett, Deputy Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization. “But unfortunately, we are going to witness several more such years in the coming days. This increase in temperature will have a negative impact on the global economy, our daily lives, ecosystems, and our planet.”